Publications

Our recent publications

CNDS researchers marked in bold and the links goes to their profiles

• Albrecht, F., Koivisto, J. and Teutschbein, C. (2025) Försörjningsberedskap för livsmedel, dricksvatten, energi och transporter och dess motståndskraft mot klimatrelaterade extremer : en kunskapsöversikt. Stockholm: Försvarshögskolan (FHS).

• Biella, R. (2025). Disentangling the nexus between climate information and (mal)adaptation in socio-ecological-technical systems (PhD dissertation, Acta Universitatis Upsaliensis).
• Biella, R., Mazzoleni, M., Brandimarte, L., & Di Baldassarre, G. (2025). Trade-offs in adaptation to water-related risks : Modelling how climate services can influence pathways to transformation. Frontiers in Water. Submitted
• Canedo Rosso, C. T., Nyberg, L., & Pechlivanidis, I. (2025). Drought hazard assessment across Sweden’s diverse hydro-climatic regimes. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 25(11), 4577–4592. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4577-2025
• de Wilde, E., Olivetti, L., James, S., Christersson, C., Buccheri, S., Lindblom, R., … Sarno, G. (2025). Transcatheter aortic valve implantation in Uppsala University Hospital 2009-2023 : outcomes and temporal trends. Upsala Journal of Medical Sciences, 130. Published. https://doi.org/10.48101/ujms.v130.10999
• Dellmuth, L., Gustafsson, M.-T., & Segovia-Tzompa, S. M. (2025). Non-state actor perceptions of legitimacy and meaningful participation in international climate governance. Npj Climate Action, 4(8). https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-025-00214-9
  
• Dubois, K., Nilsson, E., Andreas, M. D. D., larsen, M., Hieronymus, M., Karami, P., & Rutgersson, A. (2025). Exploring Storm Tides Projections and Their Return Levels Around the Baltic Sea Using a Machine Learning Approach. Tellus. Series A, Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 77(1), 79–97. https://doi.org/10.16993/tellusa.4101
• Dubois, K., Nilsson, E. O., & Rutgersson, A. (2025). Assessing future changes in Baltic sea extreme wave heights using a machine learning approach. Journal of Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 156(10). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-025-05758-8
• Elofsson, K., Gebru, B., & Andersson, H. (2025). Impacts of climate change on agricultural yield and the economic feasibility of adaptation in Sweden. Agricultural and Food Science, 34(3), 169–183. https://doi.org/10.23986/afsci.161088
• Gebru, B., Elofsson, K., Amuakwa-Mensah, F., & Marbuah, G. (2025). Climate variability and its impact on sanitation facility choice in Ethiopia. Discover Water, 5(1). https://doi.org/10.1007/s43832-025-00238-6
• Geiger, H., Weis, F., Troll, V. R., Deegan, F. M., Skogby, H., & Carracedo, J. C. (2025). Explosive Ocean Island Volcanism Explained by High Magmatic Water Content Determined Through Nominally Anhydrous Minerals. Geochemistry Geophysics Geosystems, 26(2). https://doi.org/10.1029/2024gc012013
• Greiner, S. H. M., Galland, O., Sigmundsson, F., Burchardt, S., Geirsson, H., Pedersen, R., & Wen, X. (2025). The influence of variable host rock cohesion and magma viscosity on intrusion-fault interaction : Insights from laboratory models. Journal of Geophysical Research - Solid Earth, 130(4). https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JB029870
• Greiner, S. H. M., Sigmundsson, F., Geirsson, H., Burchardt, S., & Galland, O. (2025). Tectonic stress as the driving mechanism for dike opening in an oblique rift setting : A deformation model of the 2021 Fagradalsfjall dike, Iceland. Geophysical Research Letters, 52(8). https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL113970
• Göteman, M., Panteli, M., Rutgersson, A., Hayez, L., Virtanen, M. J., Anvari, M., & Johansson, J. (2025). [Review of Resilience of offshore renewable energy systems to extreme metocean conditions : A review]. Renewable & sustainable energy reviews, 216. Published. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2025.115649
• Karagiorgos, K., & Grahn, T. (2025). Challenges and best practices during the development of FEMA’s National Risk Index. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 127. Published. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105683
• Katsidoniotaki, E., Guth, S., Göteman, M., & Sapsis, T. P. (2025). Reduced order modeling of wave energy systems via sequential Bayesian experimental design and machine learning. Applied Ocean Research, 155. Published. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apor.2025.104439
• Lopez-Marti, F., Ginesta, M., Faranda, D., Rutgersson, A., Yiou, P., Wu, L., & Messori, G. (2025). Future changes in compound explosive cyclones and atmospheric rivers in the North Atlantic. Earth System Dynamics, 16(1), 169–187. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-169-2025
• Lopez-Marti, F., Wu, L., Messori, G., & Rutgersson, A. (2025). Moisture Sources Throughout the Life Cycle of an Atmospheric River : Storm Dennis Case Study. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 130(16). https://doi.org/10.1029/2024jd042876
• Paniello-Castillo, B., Döring, S., Dryhurst, S., Di Baldassarre, G., & Raffetti, E. (2025). Risk perception of climate change and global crises : Influences of socio-economic drivers and political orientations. Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 12(1). https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-025-05349-y
• Shyrokaya, A., Pappenberger, F., Messori, G., Pechlivanidis, I., Cloke, H., & Di Baldassarre, G. (2025). How good is my drought index? Evaluating predictability and ability to estimate impacts across Europe. Environmental Research Letters, 20(3). https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adb869
• Stavropoulou, C., Katsidoniotaki, E., Faedo, N., & Göteman, M. (2025). Multi-fidelity surrogate modeling of nonlinear dynamic responses in wave energy farms. Applied Energy, 380. Published. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.125011

• Thandlam, V., Rutgersson, A., & Sahlée, E. (2025). Structural uncertainty in mapping Euro-Atlantic atmospheric rivers obscures understanding of associated meteorological extremes. Scientific Reports, 15(1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-19685-1

• Troll, V. R., Deegan, F. M., Heinonen, J. S., Svanholm, C., Harris, C., Lacasse, C. M., … Thordarson, T. (2025). Origin of Silicic Magmatism at the Katla Volcanic Complex, South Iceland. Geochemistry Geophysics Geosystems, 26(6). https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GC012319