Seminar on Modeling of societal exposure and vulnerability to natural hazards
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The Centre for Climate and Safety, CCS, at Karlstad University (which is part of the CNDS research collaboration) invites you to a seminar day on the 4th of September on the theme Modelling of societal exposure and vulnerability connected to natural hazards. Speakers will be Jesse Rozelle and Casey Zusak from the Federal Emergency Management Agency in USA and Daniel Knös from JLT Re.
To be able to make well informed decisions on climate related societal risks the best possible background information is needed. Several countries have developed and adapted a wide range of tools for risk evaluation. Are these tools applicable for risk evaluation purposes in a Swedish context? What are the potentials and challenges?
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| Program items Tools and experiences from the Federal Emergency Management Agency in USA Jesse Rozelle and Casey Zuzak from the US Federal Emergency Management Agency, FEMA, will tell us about the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program, the agency's multi-risk model National Risk Index and the software and methodology Hazus that is used to calculate potential losses of disasters. Jesse Rozelle is the Acting Branch Chief for FEMA HQ’s Actuarial and Catastrophic Modeling Branch. FEMA’s ACM branch encompasses the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program’s Risk Rating and Reinsurance efforts, FEMA’s new Natural Hazards Risk Assessment Program, and FEMA’s Hazus Program. Jesse has worked for FEMA since 2007 and has an M.A. in Applied Geography and Geospatial Sciences from the University of Colorado Denver. Casey Zuzak is a Senior Risk Analyst for Hazus and Natural Hazards Risk Assessment Program (NHRAP) at the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). NHRAP provides natural hazard risk assessment data, tools, and analyses to support FEMA strategic goals in the development of risk communication for all phases of emergency management. Casey has worked for FEMA since 2011 and has a M.S. in Geography from the University of South Carolina. MSB's Work on Sweden's national risk evaluation process Jim Kronhamn from the Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency (MSB) will talk about the acency's work with identification and analysis of risks that can be seen as especially serious. Jim will also talk about the future development of the agency's work and what wishes it has when it comes to the development of new tools and models. Heavy precipitation in Sweden The project Swedish Pluvial Modelling Analysis and Safety Handling (SPLASH) is being led by the Centre for Climate and Safety at Karlstad University in close collaboration with four companies: JLT Re, Brandskyddsföreningen restvärderäddning, Länsförsäkringar AB and Länsförsäkringar Jönköping as well as with support from Jönköping municipality and OASIS loss modelling framework. Daniel Knös from JLT Re will tell us about methods used in the re-insurance sector to assess losses, with a special focus on the Oasis Loss Modelling Framework, an open platform for the development, deployment end execution of catastrophe models. Researchers from the SPLASH project will tell us about their work with modelling of exposure and vulnerability to heavy downpours. Student work within the field from Swedish Universities Mattias Andersson and Marcus Thorell will tell us about their thesis work where they have applied Hazus in Karlstad. Erika Lindqvist, will tell us about her thesis work at Göteborg University where she has applied the tool ICPR FLoRiAn (International Commission for the protection of the Rhine Flood Risk Analysis) to assess flood risk in Kungälv municipality. Fabian Erlandsson will tell us about his thesis work where he has analyzed the preferences of homeowners when it comes to risk evaluation and motivation to perform risk reducing measures connected to flood risk in the county of Jönköping. |
Time: 4/9 09:30 - 16:30
Place: Karlstad CCC
Language: The seminar day is held in Swedish but several presentations will be held in english.
The seminar is free to attend and includes lunch and afternoon coffee but requires registration.
Parts of the seminar will be filmed for educational purposes. If you do not wish to appear on film or photographs from the seminar, please notify the conference host or photographers on attendance.
Contact Person
Tonje Grahn, tonje.grahn@kau.se