CNDS research project "TRAMPOLINE" awarded grant from The Swedish Research Council


Daniel Nohrstedt, Charles Parker, Giuliano Di Baldassarre and Maurizio Mazzoleni have been awarded a 3-year grant of 4.4 million SEK for their research project The Transformative Potential of Extreme Weather Events (TRAMPOLINE).  The purpose of the project is to investigate extreme hazard events as potential triggers for changes in DRR policy and development.

Extreme weather events, floods and droughts—problems that are predicted to become more frequent and extreme due to climate change— inflict major losses and disproportionally affect lower income countries, yet the conditions for accelerating implementation of public policy for disaster risk reduction (DRR) are poorly understood.

This research project will perform a statistical, global-scale analysis of policy change after extreme events and, using the results, select four cases for a comparative examination of hazard-induced policy change in lower-income and middle-income countries. Utilizing unique data on DRR policy implementation from 2007-2018 retrieved from the United Nations Hyogo Framework, a new merged dataset of climate extremes and disasters, and material from interviews and public sources, the researchers will document the extent to which these events prompt policy change worldwide and assess whether variations  can be explained by income-levels, event magnitude, regular exposure, diffusion effects, agenda-setting, political mobilization, and learning.

By testing and specifying explanations for hazard-induced policy change, the results will advance frontiers in natural hazard science, development studies, and public policy. The results will also support international efforts to reduce disaster risks through the Sendai framework for disaster risk reduction.